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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

    The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...

    P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  2. Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

    Understanding and attributing the characteristics of extreme events that lead to societal impacts...

    JM Eden, K Wolter, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  3. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  4. Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...

    R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  5. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

    Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...

    EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2016
  6. Climate Change and El Niño Increase Likelihood of Indonesian Heat and Drought

    El Niño and human-induced climate change have substantially increased the likelihood of rainfall ...

    AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  7. What is going on with India’s weather?

    S Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | The Conversation | 2016
  8. The Role of Anthropogenic Warming in 2015 Central European Heat Waves

    Station-based observations and bias-corrected model simulations show that the frequency of short-...

    S Sippel, FEL Otto, M Flach, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  9. Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

    A succession of storms reaching southern England in the winter of 2013/2014 caused severe floods ...

    N Schaller, A Kay, NR Massey, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, SN Sparrow, R Vautard, P Yiou, I Ashpole, A Bowery, S Crooks, K Haustein, C Huntingford, ..., MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016
  10. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

    Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...

    JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | published | Geoscientific Model Development | 2015 | 8
  11. A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction

    Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...

    JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | published | Geoscientific Model Development | 2015 | 8
  12. Attribution of extreme climate events

    Extreme weather or climate-related events occur in a particular place, by definition, infrequentl...

    PA Stott, N Christidis, FEL Otto, Y Sun, JP Vanderlinden, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Vautard, H von Storch, P Walton, P Yiou, F Zwiers | published | WIRES Climate Change | 2015 | 7
  13. Tales of Future Weather

    W Hazeleger, BJJM van den Hurk, E Min, GJ van Oldenborgh, X Wang, AC Petersen, L Smith, DA Stainforth, E Vasileiadou | published | Nature Climate Change | 2015 | 5
  14. Een sterke El Niño in aantocht

    Naar het zich nu laat aanzien komt er een sterke El Niño aan, met de sterkste SST anomalieën tege...

    H van den Dool, LC Chen, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Meteorologica | 2015 | 24
  15. Temperature, extreme precipitation, and diurnal rainfall changes in the urbanized Jakarta city during the past 130 years

    Using a newly available 134-years long record of daily and 114-years hourly observations at Jakar...

    Siswanto, GJ van Oldenborgh, G van der Schrier, R Jilderda, B van den Hurk | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2015
  16. Attribution of the record high Central England temperature of 2014 to anthropogenic influences

    In 2014, Central England experienced its warmest year in a record extending back to 1659. Using b...

    AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly, SC Lewis, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2015 | 10
  17. Trends in High-Daily Precipitation Events in Jakarta and the Flooding of January 2014

    The January 2014 floods paralyzed nearly all of Jakarta, Indonesia. The precipitation events that...

    Siswanto, GJ van Oldenborgh, G van der Schrier, G Lenderink, B van den Hurk | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  18. How Unusual was the Cold Winter of 2013/14 in the Upper Midwest?

    The frigid 2013/14 Midwestern winter was 20–100 times less likely than in the 1880s due to long-t...

    K Wolter, M Hoerling, JK Eischeid, GJ van Oldenborgh, XW Quan, JE Walsh, TN Chase, RM Dole | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  19. Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in southeast Brazil

    Southeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2014/15. Anthropogenic climate change is...

    FEL Otto, CAS Coelho, A King, E Coughlan de Perez, Y Wada, GJ van Oldenborgh, RJ Haarsma, K Haustein, P Uhe, M van Aalst, JA Aravequia, W Almeida, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  20. Extreme fall 2014 precipitations in the Cévennes mountain range

    Extreme daily fall precipitation in the Cévennes mountains has very likely intensified. The proba...

    R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Thao, B Dubuisson, G Lenderink, A Ribes, JM Soubeyroux, P Yiou, S Planton | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  21. Resolution Dependence of European Precipitation in a State-of-the-Art Atmospheric General Circulation Model

    In this study, the authors investigate the effect of GCM spatial resolution on modeled precipitat...

    R van Haren, RJ Haarsma, GJ van Oldenborgh, W Hazeleger | published | J. Climate | 2015 | 28
  22. Resolution dependence of circulation forced future central European summer drying

    Climate model based projections suggest a drying of the central European summer climate toward th...

    R van Haren, RJ Haarsma, H de Vries, GJ van Oldenborgh, W Hazeleger | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2015 | 10
  23. The effect of increased freshwater from Antarctic ice shelves on future trends in Antarctic sea ice

    Observations show that, in contrast to the Arctic, the area of Antarctic sea ice has increased si...

    R Bintanja, GJ van Oldenborgh, CA Katsman | published | Annals of Glaciology | 2015 | 56
  24. KNMI'14: Climate Change scenarios for the 21st Century – A Netherlands perspective

    This report documents and motivates the KNMI’14 climate change scenarios. It has an intermediate ...

    B van den Hurk, P Siegmund, A Klein Tank, J Attema, A Bakker, J Beersma, J Bessembinder, R Boers, T Brandsma, H van den Brink, S Drijfhout, H Eskes, R Haarsma, W Hazeleger, R Jilderda, C Katsman, G Lenderink, J Loriaux, E van Meijgaard, T van Noije, GJ van Oldenborgh, F Selten, P Siebesma, A Sterl, H de Vries, M van Weele, R de Winter, G-J van Zadelhoff | 26-5-2014 | pp120
  25. Decadal Climate Prediction: An Update from the Trenches

    This paper provides an update on research in the relatively new and fast-moving field of decadal ...

    GA Meehl, L Goddard, et al, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2014 | 95