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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa

    In Eastern Africa droughts can cause crop failure and lead to food insecurity. With increasing te...

    SF Kew, SY Philip, M Hauser, M Hobbins, N Wanders, GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, TIE Veldkamp, J Kimutai, C Funk, FEL Otto | published | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12
  2. Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heat waves in Western Europe

    Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by...

    R Vautard, MK van Aalst, O Boucher, A Drouin, K Haustein, F Kreienkamp, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, A Ribes, Y Robin, M Schneider, JM Soubeyroux, SI Seneviratne, MM Vogel, M Wehner | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  3. A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

    Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | published | Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr. | 2020 | 6
  4. Challenges to understanding extreme weather changes in lower income countries

    The science of event attribution has emerged to routinely answer the question whether and to what...

    FEL Otto, L Harrington, K Schmitt, S Philip, S Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Kimutai, P Wolski | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2020
  5. Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

    In August 2017 Bangladesh faced one of its worst river flooding events in recent history. This pa...

    S Philip, S Sparrow, SF Kew,  K van der Wiel, N Wanders, R Singh, A Hassan, K Mohammed, H Javid, K Haustein, FEL Otto, F Hirpa, RH Rimi, AKM Saiful Islam, DCH Wallom, and GJ van Oldenborgh | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2019 | 23
  6. The exceptional summer heat wave in southern Europe 2017

    SF Kew, SY Philip, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2019 | 100
  7. Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

    In 2016 and continuing into 2017, Kenya experienced drought conditions, with over 3 million peopl...

    P Uhe, AY Philip, SF Kew, K Shah, J Kimutai, E Mwangi, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Arrighi, E Jjemba, H Cullen, FEL Otto | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2018 | 38
  8. Attribution Analysis of the Ethiopian Drought of 2015

    In northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only from one-half to th...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, S O'Keefe, K Haustein, A King, A Zegeye, Z Eshetu, K Hailemariam, R Singh, E Jjemba, C Funk, H Cullen | published | J. Climate | 2018 | 31
  9. A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

    Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using m...

    ESPR Martins, CAS Coelho, R Haarsma, FEL Otto, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, SF Kew, SY Philip, FC Vasconceles Junior, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  10. Attribution of Wintertime Anticyclonic Stagnation Contributing to Air Pollution in Western Europe

    Climate simulations suggest a potential increase in frequency of stagnant wintertime conditions t...

    R Vautard, A Colette, E van Meijgaard, F Meleux, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, I Tobin, P Yiou | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  11. Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change

    On 19 May 2016 the afternoon temperature reached 51.0 ◦C in Phalodi in the northwest of India – a...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip, SF Kew, M van Weele, P Uhe, FEL Otto, R Singh, I Pal, H Cullen, K AchutaRao | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2018 | 18
  12. Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

    In the period 2015–2017, the Western Cape region has suffered from three consecutive years of bel...

    FEL Otto, P Wolski, F Lehner, C Tebaldi, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Hogesteeger, R Singh, P Holden, NS Fučkar, RC Odoulami | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  13. Validation of a Rapid Attribution of the May/June 2016 Flood-Inducing Precipitation in France to Climate Change

    The extreme precipitation that resulted in historic flooding in central-northern France began 26 ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Aalbers, R Vautard, FEL Otto, K Haustein, F Habets, R Singh | published | J. Hydrometeor. | 2018 | 19
  14. Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited

    On 4–6 December 2015, storm Desmond caused very heavy rainfall in Northern England and Southern S...

    FEL Otto, K van der Wiel, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, S Kew, P Uhe, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  15. Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

    During August 25–30, 2017, Hurricane Harvey stalled over Texas and caused extreme precipitation, ...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, A Sebastian, R Singh, J Arrighi, FEL Otto, K Haustein, S Li, G Vecchi, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2017 | 12
  16. Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

    Daily precipitation extremes and annual totals have increased in large parts of the global land a...

    S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, H Lange, MD Mahecha, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, M Reichstein | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  17. Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

    Understanding and attributing the characteristics of extreme events that lead to societal impacts...

    JM Eden, K Wolter, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  18. Chennai onder water

    GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, K Haustein, K AchutaRao | published | Meteorologica | 2016
  19. The Heavy Precipitation Event of December 2015 in Chennai, India

    Extreme one-day rainfall caused widespread flooding in Chennai, India, in December 2015. No effec...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, K Haustein, K AcutaRao | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  20. The Role of Anthropogenic Warming in 2015 Central European Heat Waves

    Station-based observations and bias-corrected model simulations show that the frequency of short-...

    S Sippel, FEL Otto, M Flach, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  21. Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

    The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...

    P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  22. Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...

    R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  23. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  24. How rare were the unusually high temperatures around the North Pole in November–December 2016 and how were they influenced by anthropogenic climate change?

    GJ van Oldenborgh, M Macias-Fauria, AD King, P Uhe, SY Philip, S Kew, D Karoly, FEL Otto, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | website Climate central | 2016
  25. Human influence on climate in the 2014 southern England winter floods and their impacts

    A succession of storms reaching southern England in the winter of 2013/2014 caused severe floods ...

    N Schaller, A Kay, NR Massey, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, SN Sparrow, R Vautard, P Yiou, I Ashpole, A Bowery, S Crooks, K Haustein, C Huntingford, ..., MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016