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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution

    The last few years have seen an explosion of interest in extreme event attribution, the science o...

    GJ van Oldenborgh,  K van der Wiel, S Kew, S Philip, F Otto, R Vautard, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Climatic Change | 2021 | 166
  2. Impact of precipitation and increasing temperatures on drought trends in eastern Africa

    In Eastern Africa droughts can cause crop failure and lead to food insecurity. With increasing te...

    SF Kew, SY Philip, M Hauser, M Hobbins, N Wanders, GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, TIE Veldkamp, J Kimutai, C Funk, FEL Otto | published | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12
  3. Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heat waves in Western Europe

    Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by...

    R Vautard, MK van Aalst, O Boucher, A Drouin, K Haustein, F Kreienkamp, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, A Ribes, Y Robin, M Schneider, JM Soubeyroux, SI Seneviratne, MM Vogel, M Wehner | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  4. Anthropogenic Influence on the 2018 Summer Warm Spell in Europe: The Impact of Different Spatio-Temporal Scales

    We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally pro...

    NJ Leach, S Li, S Sparrow, GJ van Oldenborgh, FC Lott, A Weisheimer, MR Allen | published | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | 2020 | 101
  5. Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands

    The summer of 2018 was characterized by high temperatures and low precipitation values in the Net...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, K van der Wiel, N Wanders, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  6. Challenges to understanding extreme weather changes in lower income countries

    The science of event attribution has emerged to routinely answer the question whether and to what...

    FEL Otto, L Harrington, K Schmitt, S Philip, S Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Kimutai, P Wolski | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2020
  7. Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives

    In August 2017 Bangladesh faced one of its worst river flooding events in recent history. This pa...

    S Philip, S Sparrow, SF Kew,  K van der Wiel, N Wanders, R Singh, A Hassan, K Mohammed, H Javid, K Haustein, FEL Otto, F Hirpa, RH Rimi, AKM Saiful Islam, DCH Wallom, and GJ van Oldenborgh | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2019 | 23
  8. The exceptional summer heat wave in southern Europe 2017

    SF Kew, SY Philip, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2019 | 100
  9. Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

    In 2016 and continuing into 2017, Kenya experienced drought conditions, with over 3 million peopl...

    P Uhe, AY Philip, SF Kew, K Shah, J Kimutai, E Mwangi, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Arrighi, E Jjemba, H Cullen, FEL Otto | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2018 | 38
  10. Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change

    On 19 May 2016 the afternoon temperature reached 51.0 ◦C in Phalodi in the northwest of India – a...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip, SF Kew, M van Weele, P Uhe, FEL Otto, R Singh, I Pal, H Cullen, K AchutaRao | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2018 | 18
  11. Attribution of Wintertime Anticyclonic Stagnation Contributing to Air Pollution in Western Europe

    Climate simulations suggest a potential increase in frequency of stagnant wintertime conditions t...

    R Vautard, A Colette, E van Meijgaard, F Meleux, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, I Tobin, P Yiou | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  12. A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

    Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using m...

    ESPR Martins, CAS Coelho, R Haarsma, FEL Otto, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, SF Kew, SY Philip, FC Vasconceles Junior, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  13. Attribution Analysis of the Ethiopian Drought of 2015

    In northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only from one-half to th...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, S O'Keefe, K Haustein, A King, A Zegeye, Z Eshetu, K Hailemariam, R Singh, E Jjemba, C Funk, H Cullen | published | J. Climate | 2018 | 31
  14. Western US high June 2015 temperatures and their relation to global warming and soil moisture

    The Western US states Washington (WA), Oregon (OR) and California (CA) experienced extremely high...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, M Hauser, BP Guillod, A Teuling, K Whan, P Uhe, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018 | 50
  15. Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe

    A detailed analysis is carried out to assess the HadGEM3-A global atmospheric model skill in simu...

    R Vautard, ..., J Eden, ..., GJ van Oldenborgh, ... | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018
  16. Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change

    Summer 2012 was very wet in northern Europe, and unusually dry and hot in southern Europe. We use...

    LJ Wilcox, P Yiou, FC Lott, GJ van Oldenborgh, I Colfescu, B Dong, G Hegerl, L Shaffrey, R Sutton | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018 | 50
  17. Was the Cold European Winter of 2009/10 Modified by Anthropogenic Climate Change? An Attribution Study

    An attribution study has been performed to investigate the degree to which the unusually cold Eur...

    B Christensen, C Alvarez-Castro, N Christidis, A Ciavarella, I Colfescu, T Cowan, J Eden, M Hauser, N Hempelmann, K Klehmet, F Lott, C Nangini, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Orth, P Stott | published | J. Climate | 2018 | 31
  18. Attribution of Extreme Rainfall Events in the South of France Using EURO‐CORDEX Simulations

    This study investigates how climate change affects the daily extreme precipitation events that oc...

    LN Luu, R Vautard, P Yiou, GJ van Oldenborgh, G Lenderink | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2018 | 45
  19. Extreme precipitation in the Netherlands: An event attribution case study

    Attributing the change in likelihood of extreme weather events, particularly those occurring at s...

    JM Eden, SF Kew, O Belprat, G Lenderink, I Manola, H Omrani, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2018 | 21
  20. Validation of a Rapid Attribution of the May/June 2016 Flood-Inducing Precipitation in France to Climate Change

    The extreme precipitation that resulted in historic flooding in central-northern France began 26 ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Aalbers, R Vautard, FEL Otto, K Haustein, F Habets, R Singh | published | J. Hydrometeor. | 2018 | 19
  21. Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017

    In the period 2015–2017, the Western Cape region has suffered from three consecutive years of bel...

    FEL Otto, P Wolski, F Lehner, C Tebaldi, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Hogesteeger, R Singh, P Holden, NS Fučkar, RC Odoulami | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  22. Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited

    On 4–6 December 2015, storm Desmond caused very heavy rainfall in Northern England and Southern S...

    FEL Otto, K van der Wiel, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, S Kew, P Uhe, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  23. Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought

    Science on the role of anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, such as heatwaves or dr...

    M Hauser, L Gudmndsson, R Orth, A Jézéquel, K Haustein, R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, L Wilcox, SI Seneviratne | published | Earths Future | 2017 | 5
  24. Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

    During August 25–30, 2017, Hurricane Harvey stalled over Texas and caused extreme precipitation, ...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, A Sebastian, R Singh, J Arrighi, FEL Otto, K Haustein, S Li, G Vecchi, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2017 | 12
  25. A very unusual precipitation event associated with the 2015 floods in Jakarta: an analysis of the meteorological factors

    The 2–days precipitation event over Jakarta in February 2015 was very unusual, the highest in the...

    Siswanto, G van der Schrier, GJ van Oldenborgh, BJJ van den, E Aldrian, Y Swarinoto, W Sulistya | published | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2017 | 16