Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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  1. The climatological renewable energy deviation index (CREDI)

    We propose an index to quantify and analyse the impact of climatological variability on the energ...

    Laurens P Stoop, Karin van der Wiel, William Zappa, Arno Haverkamp, Ad J Feelders, Machteld van den Broek | Environmental Research Letters | 2024 | 19
  2. Exploring coastal climate adaptation through storylines: Insights from cyclone Idai in Beira, Mozambique

    Coastal settlements, facing increasing flood risk from tropical cyclones (TCs) under climate chan...

    Henrique M.D. Goulart, Panagiotis Athanasiou, Kees van Ginkel, Karin van der Wiel, Gundula Winter, Izidine Pinto, Bart van den Hurk1 | Cell Reports Sustainability | 2024
  3. Underestimation of meteorological drought intensity due to lengthening of the drought season with climate change

    Meteorological drought may lead to water shortages, which has negative impacts on water-dependent...

    Job Dullaart, Karin van der Wiel | Environmental Research: Climate | 2024 | 3
  4. Temporally compounding energy droughts in European electricity systems with hydropower

    As Europe’s renewable energy capacities expand, electricity systems face increased risks of energ...

    L. van der Most, K. van der Wiel, R. M. J. Benders, P. W. Gerbens-Leenes & R. Bintanja | Nature Energy | 2024
  5. Changing dynamics of Western European summertime cut‐off lows: A case study of the July 2021 flood event

    In July 2021, a cut‐off low‐pressure system brought extreme precipitation to Western Europe. Reco...

    Vikki Thompson, Dim Coumou, Vera Melinda Galfi, Tamara Happé, Sarah Kew, Izidine Pinto, Sjoukje Philip, Hylke de Vries, Karin van der Wiel | Atmospheric Science Letters | 2024 | 25
  6. KNMI'23 climate scenarios for the Netherlands: storyline scenarios of regional climate change

    This paper presents the methodology for the construction of the KNMI'23 national climate scenario...

    K van der Wiel, J Beersma, H van den Brink, F Krikken, F Selten, C Severijns, A Sterl, E van Meijgaard, T Reerink, R van Dorland | Earth's Future | 2024 | 12
  7. Compound flood impacts from Hurricane Sandy on New York City in climate-driven storylines

    High impact events like Hurricane Sandy (2012) significantly affect society and decision-making a...

    HMD Goulart, IB Lazaro, L van Garderen, K van der Wiel, D Le Bars, E Koks, B van den Hurk | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2024 | 24
  8. Managing water across the flood–drought spectrum: Experiences from and challenges for the Netherlands

    Recent impactful hydrometeorological events, on both the extreme wet and dry side of the spectrum...

    RP Bartholomeus, K van der Wiel, AF van Loon, MHJ van Huijgevoort, MTH van Vliet, M Mens, S Muurling-van Geffen, N Wanders, W Pot | Cambridge Prisms: Water | 2023 | 1
  9. Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Future Poleward Moisture Transport and Arctic Climate in EC-Earth2

    Alongside mean increases in poleward moisture transport (PMT) to the Arctic, most climate models ...

    M Kolbe, JPJ Sonnemans, R Bintanja, EC van der Linden,  K van der Wiel, K Whan, I Benedict | Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres | 2023 | 128
  10. The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS)

    Large-ensemble modelling has become an increasingly popular approach to studying the mean climate...

    L Muntjewerf, R Bintanja, T Reerink, K van der Wiel | Geoscientific Model Development | 2023 | 16
  11. Current and future risk of unprecedented hydrological droughts in Great Britain

    The UK has experienced recurring hydrological droughts in the past and their frequency and severi...

    WCH Chan, NW Arnell, G Darch, K Facer-Childs, TG Shepherd, M Tanguy, K van der Wiel | Journal of Hydrology | 2023 | 625
  12. Large variability in simulated response of vegetation composition and carbon dynamics to variations in drought-heat occurrence

    The frequency of heatwaves, droughts and their co-occurrence vary greatly in simulations of diffe...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, A Bastos, P Ciais, K Gregor, F Joos, J Knauer, P Papastefanou, A Rahmig, K van der Wiel, K Williams, Y Xu, S Zähle, J Zscheischler | Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 128, pp. e2022JG007332. | 2023 | 128
  13. Increase of simultaneous soybean failures due to climate change

    While soybeans are among the most consumed crops in the world, most of its production lies in the...

    H Goulart, K van der Wiel, C Folberth, E Boere, B van den Hurk | Earth's Future | 2023 | 11
  14. Simulating hydrological extremes for different warming levels–combining large scale climate ensembles with local observation based machine learning models

    Climate change has a large influence on the occurrence of extreme hydrological events. However, r...

    SM Hauswirth, K van der Wiel, MFP Bierkens, V Beijk, N Wanders | Frontiers in Water | 2023 | 5
  15. Large increases of multi-year droughts in north-western Europe in a warmer climate

    Three consecutive dry summers in western Europe (2018–2019–2020) had widespread negative impacts ...

    K van der Wiel, TJ Batelaan, N Wanders | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 60
  16. A data-driven model for Fennoscandian wildfire danger

    Wildfires are recurrent natural hazards that affect terrestrial ecosystems, the carbon cycle, cli...

    SJ Bakke, N Wanders, K van der Wiel, LM Tallaksen | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2023 | 23
  17. KNMI National Climate Scenarios 2023 for the Netherlands

    This is the scientific report, which supports the Dutch ‘gebruikersrapport’ with more background ...

    R. van Dorland, J. Beersma, J. Bessembinder, N. Bloemendaal, H. van den Brink, M. Brotons Blanes, S. Drijfhout, R. Haarsma, I. Keizer, F. Krikken D. Le Bars, G. Lenderink, E. van Meijgaard, J. F. Meirink, T. Reerink, F. Selten, C. Severijns, P. Siegmund, A. Sterl, B. Overbeek, H. de Vries, B. Wichers Schreur, K. van der Wiel | --2023 | pp365
  18. A perfect model study on the reliability of the added small-scale information in regional climate change projections

    he issue of the added value (AV) of high resolution regional climate models is complex and still ...

    Lenderink, Geert, de Vries, Hylke, van Meijgaard, Erik, van der Wiel, Karin and Selten, Frank | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 60
  19. Quantifying the role of the large‑scale circulation on European summer precipitation change

    Regional climate projections indicate that European summer precipitation may change considerably ...

    H de Vries, G Lenderink, K van der Wiel, E van Meijgaard | Climate Dynamics | 2022 | 59
  20. Extreme Events in the European Renewable Power System: Validation of a Modeling Framework to Estimate Renewable Electricity Production and Demand from Meteorological Data

    With the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the coming decades will see a transition of Eur...

    L van der Most, K van der Wiel, RMJ Benders, PW Gerbens-Leenes, P Kerkmans, R Bintanja | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2022 | 170
  21. Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2°C global warming.

    Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The impacts of ...

    T Zhang, K van der Wiel, T Wei, J Screen, X Yue, B Zheng, F Selten, R Bintanja, W Anderson, R Blackport, S Glomsrod, Y Liu, X Cui, X Yang | One Earth | 2022 | 5
  22. Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modelling

    Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system mo...

    MT Craig, J Wohland, LP Stoop, A Kies, B Pickering, HC Bloomfield, J Browell, M de Felice, CJ Dent, A Deroubaix, F Frischmuth, PLM Gonzalez, A Grochowicz, K Gruber, P Hartel, M Kittel, L Kotzur, I Labuhn, JK Lundquist, N Pflugradt, K van der Wiel, M Zeyringer, DJ Brayshaw | Joule | 2022 | 6
  23. A climate database with varying drought-heat signatures for climate impact modelling

    Extreme climate events, such as droughts and heatwaves, can have large impacts on the environment...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, K van der Wiel, F Koos, J Zschleischler | Geoscience Data Journal | 2022 | 9
  24. A globally consistent local-scale assessment of future tropical cyclone risk

    There is considerable uncertainty surrounding future changes in tropical cyclone (TC) frequency a...

    N Bloemendaal, H de Moel, AB Martinez, S Muis, ID Haigh, K van der Wiel, RJ Haarsma, PJ Ward, MJ Roberts, JCM Dullaart, JCJH Aerts. | Science advances | 2022 | 8
  25. Modeling and simulating spatial extremes by combining extreme value theory with generative adversarial networks

    Modeling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for inst...

    Y Boulaguiem, J Zschleischler, E Vignotto, K van der Wiel, S Engelke | Environmental Data Science | 2022 | 1