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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. KNMI'23 climate scenarios for the Netherlands: storyline scenarios of regional climate change

    This paper presents the methodology for the construction of the KNMI'23 national climate scenario...

    K van der Wiel, J Beersma, H van den Brink, F Krikken, F Selten, C Severijns, A Sterl, E van Meijgaard, T Reerink, R van Dorland | Earth's Future | 2024 | 12
  2. Compound flood impacts from Hurricane Sandy on New York City in climate-driven storylines

    High impact events like Hurricane Sandy (2012) significantly affect society and decision-making a...

    HMD Goulart, IB Lazaro, L van Garderen, K van der Wiel, D Le Bars, E Koks, B van den Hurk | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2024 | 24
  3. Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Future Poleward Moisture Transport and Arctic Climate in EC-Earth2

    Alongside mean increases in poleward moisture transport (PMT) to the Arctic, most climate models ...

    M Kolbe, JPJ Sonnemans, R Bintanja, EC van der Linden,  K van der Wiel, K Whan, I Benedict | Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres | 2023 | 128
  4. The KNMI Large Ensemble Time Slice (KNMI–LENTIS)

    Large-ensemble modelling has become an increasingly popular approach to studying the mean climate...

    L Muntjewerf, R Bintanja, T Reerink, K van der Wiel | Geoscientific Model Development | 2023 | 16
  5. Simulating hydrological extremes for different warming levels–combining large scale climate ensembles with local observation based machine learning models

    Climate change has a large influence on the occurrence of extreme hydrological events. However, r...

    SM Hauswirth, K van der Wiel, MFP Bierkens, V Beijk, N Wanders | Frontiers in Water | 2023 | 5
  6. KNMI National Climate Scenarios 2023 for the Netherlands

    This is the scientific report, which supports the Dutch ‘gebruikersrapport’ with more background ...

    R. van Dorland, J. Beersma, J. Bessembinder, N. Bloemendaal, H. van den Brink, M. Brotons Blanes, S. Drijfhout, R. Haarsma, I. Keizer, F. Krikken D. Le Bars, G. Lenderink, E. van Meijgaard, J. F. Meirink, T. Reerink, F. Selten, C. Severijns, P. Siegmund, A. Sterl, B. Overbeek, H. de Vries, B. Wichers Schreur, K. van der Wiel | --2023 | pp365
  7. A perfect model study on the reliability of the added small-scale information in regional climate change projections

    he issue of the added value (AV) of high resolution regional climate models is complex and still ...

    Lenderink, Geert, de Vries, Hylke, van Meijgaard, Erik, van der Wiel, Karin and Selten, Frank | Climate Dynamics | 2023 | 60
  8. Quantifying the role of the large‑scale circulation on European summer precipitation change

    Regional climate projections indicate that European summer precipitation may change considerably ...

    H de Vries, G Lenderink, K van der Wiel, E van Meijgaard | Climate Dynamics | 2022 | 59
  9. Extreme Events in the European Renewable Power System: Validation of a Modeling Framework to Estimate Renewable Electricity Production and Demand from Meteorological Data

    With the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, the coming decades will see a transition of Eur...

    L van der Most, K van der Wiel, RMJ Benders, PW Gerbens-Leenes, P Kerkmans, R Bintanja | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2022 | 170
  10. Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2°C global warming.

    Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The impacts of ...

    T Zhang, K van der Wiel, T Wei, J Screen, X Yue, B Zheng, F Selten, R Bintanja, W Anderson, R Blackport, S Glomsrod, Y Liu, X Cui, X Yang | One Earth | 2022 | 5
  11. Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modelling

    Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system mo...

    MT Craig, J Wohland, LP Stoop, A Kies, B Pickering, HC Bloomfield, J Browell, M de Felice, CJ Dent, A Deroubaix, F Frischmuth, PLM Gonzalez, A Grochowicz, K Gruber, P Hartel, M Kittel, L Kotzur, I Labuhn, JK Lundquist, N Pflugradt, K van der Wiel, M Zeyringer, DJ Brayshaw | Joule | 2022 | 6
  12. A climate database with varying drought-heat signatures for climate impact modelling

    Extreme climate events, such as droughts and heatwaves, can have large impacts on the environment...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, K van der Wiel, F Koos, J Zschleischler | Geoscience Data Journal | 2022 | 9
  13. A globally consistent local-scale assessment of future tropical cyclone risk

    There is considerable uncertainty surrounding future changes in tropical cyclone (TC) frequency a...

    N Bloemendaal, H de Moel, AB Martinez, S Muis, ID Haigh, K van der Wiel, RJ Haarsma, PJ Ward, MJ Roberts, JCM Dullaart, JCJH Aerts. | Science advances | 2022 | 8
  14. Modeling and simulating spatial extremes by combining extreme value theory with generative adversarial networks

    Modeling dependencies between climate extremes is important for climate risk assessment, for inst...

    Y Boulaguiem, J Zschleischler, E Vignotto, K van der Wiel, S Engelke | Environmental Data Science | 2022 | 1
  15. The effects of varying drought-heat signatures on terrestrial carbon dynamics and vegetation composition

    The frequency and severity of droughts and heatwaves are projected to increase under global warmi...

    E Tschumi, S Lienert, K van der Wiel, F Koos, J Zschleischler | Biogeosciences | 2022 | 19
  16. Interpreting extreme climate impacts from large ensemble simulations—are they unseen or unrealistic?

    Large-ensemble climate model simulations can provide deeper understanding of the characteristics ...

    T Kelder, N Wanders, K van der Wiel, TI Marjoribanks, LJ Slater, RI Wilby, C Prudhomme | Environmental Research Letters | 2022 | 17
  17. Drought trends in the Rhine and Meuse basins - Extension of the study "Regional differentiation in climate change induced drought trends in the Netherlands"

    Motivated by the extreme drought conditions experienced in the  Netherlands in 2018, trends in l...

    S.Y. Philip, S.F. Kew, K. van der Wiel, N. Wanders, G.J. van Oldenborgh | --2021 | pp35
  18. Weather-induced crop failure events under climate change: a storyline approach

    Unfavourable weather is a common cause for crop failures all over the world. Whilst extreme weath...

    H Goulart, K van der Wiel, C Folberth, J Balkovic, B van den Hurk | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12
  19. KNMI Klimaatsignaal'21 Hoe het klimaat in Nederland snel verandert

    Het Klimaatsignaal’21 is gebaseerd op de grote hoeveelheid kennis over klimaatverandering die in ...

    KNMI auteurs per hoofdstuk 1: Peter Siegmund, Bernadet Overbeek, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh † en Hylke de Vries. 2: Peter Siegmund, Rein Haarsma, Nadia Bloemendaal en Job Dullaart. 3: Rob van Dorland. 4: Sybren Drijfhout en Dewi Le Bars. 5: Richard Bintanja, Dewi Le Bars, Caitlin Pot en Nomikos Skyllas. 6: Geert Lenderink, Rob Groenland en Alwin Haklander. 7: Karin van der Wiel, Rein Haarsma, Emma Daniels, Gerard van der Schrier en Emma Aalbers. 8: Andreas Sterl, Jules Beersma en Henk van den Brink. 9: Ben Wichers Schreur. Eindredactie Rob van Dorland | --2021 | pp72
  20. Guidelines for studying diverse types of compound weather and climate events

    Compound weather and climate events are combinations of climate drivers and/or hazards that contr...

    E Bevacqua, C De Michele, C Manning, A Couasnon, AFS Ribeiro, AM Ramos, E Vignotto, A Bastos, S Blesić, F Durante, J Hillier, SC Oliveira, JG Pinto, E Ragno, P Rivoire, K Saunders,  K van der Wiel, W Wu, T Zhang, J Zscheischler | Earth's Future | 2021 | 9
  21. Physical storylines of future European drought events like 2018 based on ensemble climate modelling

    In the aftermath of observed extreme weather events, questions arise on the role of climate chang...

    K van der Wiel, G Lenderink, H de Vries | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2021 | 33
  22. Intransitive atmosphere dynamics leading to persistent hot-dry or cold-wet European summer

    Persistent hot–dry or cold–wet summer weather can have significant impacts on agriculture, health...

    R Sperna Weiland,  K van der Wiel, F M Selten, D Coumou | Journal of Climate | 2021 | 34
  23. Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution

    The last few years have seen an explosion of interest in extreme event attribution, the science o...

    GJ van Oldenborgh,  K van der Wiel, S Kew, S Philip, F Otto, R Vautard, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Climatic Change | 2021 | 166
  24. The impact of hydrological model structure on the simulation of extreme runoff events

    Hydrological extremes affect societies and ecosystems around the world in many ways, stressing th...

    G van Kempen, K van der Wiel, LA Melsen | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2021 | 21
  25. Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts: an application to simulated crop yields

    Compound weather events may lead to extreme impacts that can affect many aspects of society inclu...

    J Vogel, P Rivoire, C Deidda, L Rahimi, CA Sauter, E Tschumi, K van der Wiel, T Zhang, J Zschleischler | Earth System Dynamics | 2021 | 12