Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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  1. Ensemble climate-impact modelling: extreme impacts from moderate meteorological conditions

    The investigation of risk due to weather and climate events is an example of policy relevant scie...

    K van der Wiel, FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Blackport, JA Screen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  2. A seven-fold rise in the probability of exceeding the observed hottest summer in India in a 2°C warmer world

    Heatwaves and extreme temperatures during summer (April-May) in India have profound implications ...

    JS Nanditha, K van der Wiel, U Bhatia, D Stone, FM Selten, V Mishra | published | Environ Res Lett | 2020 | 15
  3. Strong future increases in Arctic precipitation variability linked to poleward moisture transport

    The Arctic region is projected to experience amplified warming as well as strongly increasing pre...

    R Bintanja, K van der Wiel, EC van der Linden, J Reusen, L Bogerd, F Krikken, FM Selten | published | Science Advances | 2020 | 6
  4. Future continental summer warming constrained by the present-day seasonal cycle of surface hydrology

    FM Selten, R Bintanja, R Vautard, B van den Hurk | published | Scientific Reports | 2020 | 10
  5. Meteorological conditions leading to extreme low variable renewable energy production and extreme high energy shortfall

    To mitigate climate change a renewable energy transition is needed. Existing power systems will n...

    K van der Wiel, LP Stoop, BRH van Zuijlen, R Blackport, MA van den Broeke, FM Selten | published | Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2019 | 111
  6. Added value of large ensemble simulations for assessing extreme river discharge in a 2 °C warmer world

    The assessment of return periods of extreme hydrological events often relies on statistical analy...

    K van der Wiel, N Wanders, FM Selten, MFP Bierkens | published | Geophysical Research Letters | 2019 | 46
  7. The influence of weather regimes on European renewable energy production and demand

    The growing share of variable renewable energy increases the meteorological sensitivity of power ...

    K van der Wiel, HB Bloomfield, RW Lee, LP Stoop, R Blackport, JA Screen, FM Selten | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2019 | 14
  8. Dynamically combining climate models to “supermodel” the tropical Pacific

    We construct an interactive ensemble of two different climate models to improve simulation of key...

    ML Shen, N Keenlyside, FM Selten, W Wiegerinck, GS Duane | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  9. Decelerating Atlantic meridional overturning circulation main cause of future west European summer atmospheric circulation changes

    We use state-of-the-art global climate models and observations to show that the projected higher ...

    RJ Haarsma, FM Selten, SS Drijfhout | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 10
  10. The ocean-atmosphere response to wind-induced thermocline changes in the tropical South Western Indian Ocean

    In the Indian Ocean basin the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are most sensitive to changes in th...

    I Manola, FM Selten, W de Ruijter, W Hazeleger | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2015 | 45
  11. The diurnal cycle of cloud feedback and land surface warming in climate models.

    We examine the diurnal cycle of cloud feedback using high frequency outputs in CFMIP-2 idealised ...

    MJ Webb, AP Lock, A Bodas-Salcedo, S Bony, JNS Cole, T Koshiro, H Kawai, C Lacagnina, FM Selten, R Roehrig, B Stevens | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2015 | 44
  12. Impact of changes in the formulation of cloud‐related processes on model biases and climate feedbacks

    To test the impact of modeling uncertainties and biases on the simulation of cloud feedbacks, sev...

    C Lacagnina, FM Selten, AP Siebesma | published | J. of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems | 2014
  13. Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea ice retreat

    Future increases in Arctic precipitation linked to local evaporation and sea-ice retreat Blad: Na...

    R Bintanja, FM Selten | published | Nature | 2014 | 509
  14. Evaluation of clouds and radiative fluxes in the EC-EARTH general circulation model

    C Lacagnina, FM Selten | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2014 | 43
  15. Supermodeling Dynamics and Learning Mechanisms.

    At a dozen or so institutes around the world, comprehensive climate models are being developed an...

    W Wiegerinck, M Mirchev, W Burgers, FM Selten | published | Consensus and Synchronization in Complex Networks | 2014 | Springer | yes
  16. On the limit of large couplings and weighted averaged dynamics

    We consider a network of deterministic non-linear oscillators with nonidentical parameters. Inter...

    W Wiegerinck, W Burgers, FM Selten | published | Consensus and Synchronization in Complex Networks | 2013 | Springer | yes
  17. The simultaneous occurrence of surge and discharge extremes for the Rhine delta

    SF Kew, FM Selten, G Lenderink, W Hazeleger | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2013 | 13
  18. Anthropogenic changes of the thermal and zonal flow structure over Western Europe and Eastern North Atlantic in CMIP3 and CMIP5 models

    RJ Haarsma, FM Selten, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2013
  19. Complete synchronization of chaotic atmospheric models by connecting only a subset of state space

    PH Hiemstra, N Fujiwara, FM Selten, J Kurths | published | Nonlin. Proc. Geophys. | 2012 | 19
  20. Het maken van weer- en klimaatverwachtingen

    Het principe van een weersverwachting wordt uitgelegd aan de hand van een eenvoudig weermodel. He...

    FM Selten | Klimaatboek | 2012
  21. Supermodels: Dynamically Coupled Ensembles of Imperfect Models

    At a dozen or so institutes around the world, comprehensive climate models are being developed an...

    W Wiegerinck, FM Selten | 2012 | 2012 | AAAI
  22. Storm surges and high discharge

    The low-lying Netherlands is at risk from multiple threats of sea level rise, storm surges and ex...

    S Kew, FM Selten, G Lenderink | 30-12-2011 | pp41
  23. SUMO: on the number of connections in super models

    This report contains the results of the first year activities regarding the research on the formu...

    PH Hiemstra, N Fujiwara, FM Selten | 2011 | 2011
  24. Remote influences on European climate

    In this project a number of topics are addressed that are relevant for the construction of climat...

    FM Selten, HW van den Brink | 2011 | 2011
  25. Robust assessment of future changes in extreme precipitation over the Rhine basin using a GCM

    SF Kew, FM Selten, G Lenderink, W Hazeleger | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2011 | 15