Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

Predictability of cold spring seasons in Europe
ME Shongwe, CAT Ferro, CAS Coelho, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Mon. Wea. Rev. | 2007 | 135
On the robustness of ENSO teleconnections
A Sterl, GJ van Oldenborgh, W Hazeleger, G Burgers | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2007 | 29
El Niño en klimaatverandering
El Niño beïnvloedt het weer in grote delen van de wereld. Veranderingen in de eigenschappen van E...
GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip | published | Kenniscentrum KNMI | 2006
Maand- en seizoensverwachtingen
Het KNMI verspreid al een paar jaar seizoensverwachtingen, en sinds kort is er op experimentele b...
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Meteorologica | 2006
Al weer een recordwarme herfst
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | KNMI Kenniscentrum | 2006
Juli en september beide warmste in zeker drie eeuwen: hoe groot is de kans in het warmer wordende klimaat?
September 2006 is met een gemiddelde temperatuur van 17,9°C (tegen 14,2°C normaal) de warmste sep...
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | KNMI Kenniscentrum | 2006
El Niño blijft El Niño
De komende eeuw zal de wereld door de toenemende concentratie van broeikasgassen waarschijnlijk z...
SY Philip, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Nederlands Tijdschift voor Natuurkunde | 2006 | 72
Alles verandert maar El Niño blijft El Niño
De komende eeuw zal de wereld waarschijnlijk zo’n drie graden opwarmen. Dit heeft allerlei verand...
SY Philip, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Weer Magazine | 2006 | 7
Climate in the 21st century; four scenarios for the Netherlands
The climate of the Netherlands is changing. How it will change depends mainly on the global temp...
AMG Klein Tank, JJF Bessembinder, BJJM van den Hurk, G Lenderink, AP van Ulden, GJ van Oldenborgh, CA Katsman, HW van den Brink, F Keller, G Burgers, GJ Komen, W Hazeleger, SS Drijfhout | KNMI brochure | 30-5-2006 | pp0
KNMI Climate Change Scenarios 2006 for the Netherlands
Climate change scenarios for the Netherlands for temperature, precipitation, potential evaporatio...
BJJM van den Hurk, AMG Klein Tank, G Lenderink, AP van Ulden, GJ van Oldenborgh, CA Katsman, HW van den Brink, F Keller, JJF Bessembinder, G Burgers, GJ Komen, W Hazeleger, SS Drijfhout | 30-5-2006 | pp82
A Bayesian approach for multi-model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America
This study addresses three issues: spatial downscaling, calibration, and combination of seasonal ...
CAS Coelho, DB Stephenson, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Balmaseda, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Meteorological Applications (Royal Met. Society) | 2006 | 13
Milestone M5.2: Prototype of an automatic system for forecast quality assessment of seasonal-to-decadal hindcasts
Even more than in weather forecasts, the skill of seasonal forecasts depends very strongly on the...
GJ van Oldenborgh, CAS Coelho | 2006 | 2006
Shifts in ENSO coupling processes under global warming
Global warming may shift the properties and dynamics of El Niño. We study the shifts in ENSO coup...
SY Philip, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2006 | 33
Large-scale atmospheric circulation biases and changes in global climate model simulations and their importance for climate change in Central Europe
The quality of global sea level pressure patterns has been assessed for simulations by 23 coupled...
AP van Ulden, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Atm. Chem. Phys. | 2006 | 6
Towards an integrated seasonal forecasting system for South America
This study proposes an integrated seasonal forecasting system for producing improved and well-cal...
CAS Coelho, DB Stephenson, MA Balmaseda, FJ Doblas-Reyes, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | J. Climate | 2006 | 19
Estimating return periods of extreme events from ECMWF seasonal forecast ensembles
Meteorological extremes have large impacts on society. The fact that approximately 40% of the Net...
HW van den Brink, GP Können, JD Opsteegh, GJ van Oldenborgh, G Burgers | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2005 | 25
Wat is de waarde van weerregels voor de winter? Deel I
Er zijn veel weerspreuken en andere ervaringsregels in omloop die moeten aangeven of de winter ko...
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Kenniscentrum KNMI | 2005
Wat is de waarde van weerregels voor de winter? Deel 2
Twee weken geleden heb ik gekeken of een warme oktober, weinig zonnevlekken, zeewatertemperatuur ...
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Kenniscentrum KNMI | 2005
Assessing the skill of seasonal forecasts
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Biennial Scientific Report 2003-2004 | 2005 | KNMI | no
El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study
In many parts of the world, climate projections for the next century depend on potential changes...
GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip, M Collins | published | Ocean Science | 2005 | 1
Searching for decadal variations in ENSO precipitation teleconnections
In many regions the strength of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) teleconnections has varied ov...
GJ van Oldenborgh, G Burgers | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2005 | 32
Winter 2005
GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Klimaatverandering | 2005 | Kosmos-Z&K | no
Evaluation of atmospheric fields from the ECMWF seasonal forecasts over a 15 year period
Since 1997 the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has made seasonal forec...
GJ van Oldenborgh, MA Balmaseda, L Ferranti, TN Stockdale, DLT Anderson | published | J. Climate | 2005 | 18
Did the ECMWF seasonal forecast model outperform statistical ENSO forecast models over the last 15 years?
The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) has made seasonal forecasts since ...
GJ van Oldenborgh, MA Balmaseda, L Ferranti, TN Stockdale, DLT Anderson | published | J. Climate | 2005 | 18
The simplest ENSO recharge oscillator
Eastern Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) and mean equatorial Pacific thermocline depth are k...
G Burgers, FF Jin, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2005 | 32