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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe

    A detailed analysis is carried out to assess the HadGEM3-A global atmospheric model skill in simu...

    R Vautard, ..., J Eden, ..., GJ van Oldenborgh, ... | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018
  2. Western US high June 2015 temperatures and their relation to global warming and soil moisture

    The Western US states Washington (WA), Oregon (OR) and California (CA) experienced extremely high...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, M Hauser, BP Guillod, A Teuling, K Whan, P Uhe, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2018 | 50
  3. Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought

    In 2016 and continuing into 2017, Kenya experienced drought conditions, with over 3 million peopl...

    P Uhe, AY Philip, SF Kew, K Shah, J Kimutai, E Mwangi, GJ van Oldenborgh, R Singh, J Arrighi, E Jjemba, H Cullen, FEL Otto | published | Int. J. Climatology | 2018 | 38
  4. Attribution Analysis of the Ethiopian Drought of 2015

    In northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only from one-half to th...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, S O'Keefe, K Haustein, A King, A Zegeye, Z Eshetu, K Hailemariam, R Singh, E Jjemba, C Funk, H Cullen | published | J. Climate | 2018 | 31
  5. A Multimethod Attribution Analysis of the Prolonged Northeast Brazil Hydrometeorological Drought (2012–16)

    Northeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2016 due to a five-year drought. Using m...

    ESPR Martins, CAS Coelho, R Haarsma, FEL Otto, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, SF Kew, SY Philip, FC Vasconceles Junior, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  6. Attribution of Wintertime Anticyclonic Stagnation Contributing to Air Pollution in Western Europe

    Climate simulations suggest a potential increase in frequency of stagnant wintertime conditions t...

    R Vautard, A Colette, E van Meijgaard, F Meleux, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, I Tobin, P Yiou | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2018 | 99
  7. Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change

    On 19 May 2016 the afternoon temperature reached 51.0 ◦C in Phalodi in the northwest of India – a...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip, SF Kew, M van Weele, P Uhe, FEL Otto, R Singh, I Pal, H Cullen, K AchutaRao | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2018 | 18
  8. Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited

    On 4–6 December 2015, storm Desmond caused very heavy rainfall in Northern England and Southern S...

    FEL Otto, K van der Wiel, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, S Kew, P Uhe, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2018 | 13
  9. Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017

    During August 25–30, 2017, Hurricane Harvey stalled over Texas and caused extreme precipitation, ...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, A Sebastian, R Singh, J Arrighi, FEL Otto, K Haustein, S Li, G Vecchi, H Cullen | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2017 | 12
  10. Methods and Model Dependency of Extreme Event Attribution: The 2015 European Drought

    Science on the role of anthropogenic influence on extreme weather events, such as heatwaves or dr...

    M Hauser, L Gudmndsson, R Orth, A Jézéquel, K Haustein, R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, L Wilcox, SI Seneviratne | published | Earths Future | 2017 | 5
  11. A very unusual precipitation event associated with the 2015 floods in Jakarta: an analysis of the meteorological factors

    The 2–days precipitation event over Jakarta in February 2015 was very unusual, the highest in the...

    Siswanto, G van der Schrier, GJ van Oldenborgh, BJJ van den, E Aldrian, Y Swarinoto, W Sulistya | published | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2017 | 16
  12. Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change

    A stationary low pressure system and elevated levels of precipitable water provided a nearly cont...

    K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GJ van Oldenborgh, K Whan, S Philip, GA Vecchi, RK Singh, J Arrighi, H Cullen | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  13. Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period

    Better defining (or altogether avoiding) the term ‘pre-industrial’ would aid interpretation of in...

    E Hawkins, P Ortega, E Suxkling, A Schurer, G Hegerl, P Jones, V Masson-Delmonte, J Mignot, P Thorne, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | BAMS | 2017
  14. Have precipitation extremes and annual totals been increasing in the world's dry regions over the last 60 years?

    Daily precipitation extremes and annual totals have increased in large parts of the global land a...

    S Sippel, J Zscheischler, M Heimann, H Lange, MD Mahecha, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, M Reichstein | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  15. U.S. Deep Freeze, December 2016

    There has been speculation that record low temperatures would be coming to the United States this...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, H de Vries, MR Allen | published | Climate Lab Book | 2016
  16. Climate Change and El Niño Increase Likelihood of Indonesian Heat and Drought

    El Niño and human-induced climate change have substantially increased the likelihood of rainfall ...

    AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh, DJ Karoly | published | BAMS | 2016 | 97
  17. Multi-method attribution analysis of extreme precipitation in Boulder, Colorado

    Understanding and attributing the characteristics of extreme events that lead to societal impacts...

    JM Eden, K Wolter, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  18. How rare were the unusually high temperatures around the North Pole in November–December 2016 and how were they influenced by anthropogenic climate change?

    GJ van Oldenborgh, M Macias-Fauria, AD King, P Uhe, SY Philip, S Kew, D Karoly, FEL Otto, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | website Climate central | 2016
  19. The attribution question

    Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...

    FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | published | Nature Climate Change | 2016 | 6
  20. Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events

    We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...

    R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2016 | 11
  21. Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences

    The year 2014 broke the record for the warmest yearly average temperature in Europe. Attributing ...

    P Uhe, FEL Otto, K Haustein, GJ van Oldenborgh, AD King, DCH Wallom, MR Allen, H Cullen | published | Geophys. Res. Lett. | 2016 | 43
  22. An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts

    Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...

    EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | published | Clim. Dyn. | 2016
  23. Chennai onder water

    GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, K Haustein, K AchutaRao | published | Meteorologica | 2016
  24. What is going on with India’s weather?

    S Perkins-Kirkpatrick, AD King, GJ van Oldenborgh | published | The Conversation | 2016
  25. Tropische dagen in september in Nederland

    GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip | published | Meteorologica | 2016