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Comparing Area Probability Forecasts of (Extreme) Local Precipitation Using Parametric and Machine Learning Statistical Postprocessing Methods
Probabilistic forecasts, which communicate forecast uncertainties, enable users to make better we...
KRP Whan, MJ Schmeits | Status: published | Journal: Mon. Wea. Rev. | Volume: 146 | Year: 2018 | First page: 3651 | Last page: 3673 | doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-17-0290.1
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Anthropogenic influence on the drivers of the Western Cape drought 2015–2017
In the period 2015–2017, the Western Cape region has suffered from three consecutive years of bel...
FEL Otto, P Wolski, F Lehner, C Tebaldi, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Hogesteeger, R Singh, P Holden, NS Fučkar, RC Odoulami | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 13 | Year: 2018 | First page: 124010 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aae9f9
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Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian action
Too often, credible scientific early warning information of increased disaster risk does not resu...
E Coughlan de Perez, BJJM van den Hurk, MK van Aalst, I Amuron, D Bamanya, T Hauser, B Jongman, A Lopez, S Mason, J Mendler de Suarez, F Pappenberger, A Rueth, E Stephens, P Suarez, J Wagemaker | Status: published | Journal: Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | Year: 2016 | doi: 10.5194/hess-2016-163
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Physical storylines of future European drought events like 2018 based on ensemble climate modelling
In the aftermath of observed extreme weather events, questions arise on the role of climate chang...
K van der Wiel, G Lenderink, H de Vries | Journal: Weather and Climate Extremes | Volume: 33 | Year: 2021 | First page: 100350 | doi: 10.1016/j.wace.2021.100350
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Prolonged Siberian heat of 2020 almost impossible without human influence
Over the first half of 2020, Siberia experienced the warmest period from January to June since re...
Andrew Ciavarella, Daniel Cotterill, Peter Stott, Sarah Kew, Sjoukje Philip, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Amalie Skålevåg, Philip Lorenz, Yoann Robin, Friederike Otto, Mathias Hauser, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Flavio Lehner and Olga Zolina | Journal: Climatoc Change | Volume: 166 | Year: 2021 | doi: 10.1007/s10584-021-03052-w
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