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A Bayesian approach for multi-model downscaling: Seasonal forecasting of regional rainfall and river flows in South America
This study addresses three issues: spatial downscaling, calibration, and combination of seasonal ...
CAS Coelho, DB Stephenson, FJ Doblas-Reyes, M Balmaseda, GJ van Oldenborgh | Status: published | Journal: Meteorological Applications (Royal Met. Society) | Volume: 13 | Year: 2006 | First page: 73 | Last page: 82 | doi: 10.1017/S1350482705002045
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The attribution question
Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...
FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | Status: published | Journal: Nature Climate Change | Volume: 6 | Year: 2016 | First page: 813 | Last page: 816 | doi: 10.1038/nclimate3089
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Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events
We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...
R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 11 | Year: 2016 | First page: 114009 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114009
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Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018
Several major storms pounded Western Europe in January 2018, generating large damages and casualt...
R Vautard, GJ van Oldenborgh, E van Meijgaard, H de Vries, A Stepek, SY Philip, SF Kew, Et al. | Status: published | Journal: Earth System Dynamics | Year: 2019 | First page: 271 | Last page: 286 | doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-271-2019
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Cold waves are getting milder in the northern midlatitudes
The strong two-day cold wave in the midwestern United States in January 2019 again ignited the di...
GJ van Oldenborgh, E Mitchell-Larson, G Vecchi, H de Vries, R Vautard, F Otto | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 14 | Year: 2019 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4867
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