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El Niño in a changing climate: a multi-model study
In many parts of the world, climate projections for the next century depend on potential changes...
GJ van Oldenborgh, SY Philip, M Collins | Status: published | Journal: Ocean Science | Volume: 1 | Year: 2005 | First page: 81 | Last page: 95 | doi: 10.5194/os-1-81-2005
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From near-neutral to strongly stratified: adequately modelling the clear-sky nocturnal boundary layer at Cabauw
In this study, the performance of an atmospheric single-column model (SCM) is studied systematica...
Baas, Wiel, Linden, Bosveld | Status: published | Journal: Bound.-Layer Meteorol. | Year: 2017 | doi: 10.1007/s10546-017-0304-8
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Estimating return periods of extreme events from ECMWF seasonal forecast ensembles
Meteorological extremes have large impacts on society. The fact that approximately 40% of the Net...
HW van den Brink, GP Können, JD Opsteegh, GJ van Oldenborgh, G Burgers | Status: published | Journal: Int. J. Climatology | Volume: 25 | Year: 2005 | First page: 1345 | Last page: 1354 | doi: 10.1002/joc.1155
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An empirical model for probabilistic decadal prediction: global attribution and regional hindcasts
Empirical models, designed to predict surface variables over seasons to decades ahead, provide us...
EB Suckling, GJ van Oldenborgh, JM Eden, E Hawkins | Status: published | Journal: Clim. Dyn. | Year: 2016 | doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3255-8
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A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction
Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an important ch...
JM Eden, GJ van Oldenborgh, E Hawkins, EB Suckling | Status: published | Journal: Geoscientific Model Development | Volume: 8 | Year: 2015 | First page: 3947 | Last page: 3973 | doi: doi:10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015
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