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The heavy precipitation event of May-June 2013 in the upper Danube and Elbe basins
An observation-based analysis and large simulation ensembles show no evidence that climate change...
N Schaller, FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, NR Massey, S Sparrow, MR Allan | Status: published | Journal: Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | Volume: 95 | Year: 2014 | First page: S69 | Last page: S72
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The attribution question
Understanding how the overall risks of extreme events are changing in a warming world requires bo...
FEL Otto, GJ van Oldenborgh, J Eden, PA Stott, DJ Karoly, MR Allen | Status: published | Journal: Nature Climate Change | Volume: 6 | Year: 2016 | First page: 813 | Last page: 816 | doi: 10.1038/nclimate3089
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Attribution of human-induced dynamical and thermodynamical contributions in extreme weather events
We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in extreme...
R Vautard, P Yiou, FEL Otto, PA Stott, N Christidis, GJ van Oldenborgh, N Schaller | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 11 | Year: 2016 | First page: 114009 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/114009
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Anthropogenic Influence on the 2018 Summer Warm Spell in Europe: The Impact of Different Spatio-Temporal Scales
We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally pro...
NJ Leach, S Li, S Sparrow, GJ van Oldenborgh, FC Lott, A Weisheimer, MR Allen | Status: published | Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Volume: 101 | Year: 2020 | doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0201.1
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Cold waves are getting milder in the northern midlatitudes
The strong two-day cold wave in the midwestern United States in January 2019 again ignited the di...
GJ van Oldenborgh, E Mitchell-Larson, G Vecchi, H de Vries, R Vautard, F Otto | Status: published | Journal: Environmental Research Letters | Volume: 14 | Year: 2019 | doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4867
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