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Publication database KNMI

The publication database contains the (co-)authored publications in scientific journals, KNMI reports and other publications

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Publications

  1. Attribution of 2022 early-spring heatwave in India and Pakistan to climate change: lessons in assessing vulnerability and preparedness in reducing impacts

    In March 2022, large parts over the north Indian plains including the breadbasket region, and sou...

    Mariam Zachariah, T Arulalan, Krishna AchutaRao, Fahad Saeed, Roshan Jha, Manish Kumar Dhasmana, Arpita Mondal, Remy Bonnet, Robert Vautard, Sjoukje Philip, Sarah Kew, Maja Vahlberg, Roop Singh, Julie Arrighi, Dorothy Heinrich, Lisa Thalheimer, Carolina Pereira Marghidan, Aditi Kapoor, Maarten van Aalst, Emmanuel Raju, Sihan Li, Jingru Sun, Gabriel Vecchi, Wenchang Yang, Mathias Hauser, Dominik L Schumacher, Sonia I Seneviratne, Luke J Harrington, Friederike EL Otto | Environ. Res.: Climate | 2023 | 2
  2. Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021

    In July 2021 extreme rainfall across Western Europe caused severe flooding and substantial impact...

    Jordis S. Tradowsky, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Frank Kreienkamp, Sarah F. Kew, Philip Lorenz, Julie Arrighi, Thomas Bettmann, Steven Caluwaerts, Steven C. Chan, Lesley De Cruz, Hylke de Vries, Norbert Demuth, Andrew Ferrone, Erich M. Fischer, Hayley J. Fowler, Klaus Goergen, Dorothy Heinrich, Yvonne Henrichs, Frank Kaspar, Geert Lenderink, Enno Nilson, Friederike E. L. Otto, Francesco Ragone, Sonia I. Seneviratne, Roop K. Singh, Amalie Skålevåg, Piet Termonia, Lisa Thalheimer, Maarten van Aalst, Joris Van den Bergh, Hans Van de Vyver, Stéphane Vannitsem, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Robert Vautard, Demi Vonk & Niko Wanders | Climatic Change | 2023 | 176
  3. Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021

    Towards the end of June 2021, temperature records were broken by several degrees Celsius in sever...

    Philip, S. Y. and Kew, S. F. and van Oldenborgh, G. J. and Anslow, F. S. and Seneviratne, S. I. and Vautard, R. and Coumou, D. and Ebi, K. L. and Arrighi, J. and Singh, R. and van Aalst, M. and Pereira Marghidan, C. and Wehner, M. and Yang, W. and Li, S. and Schumacher, D. L. and Hauser, M. and Bonnet, R. and Luu, L. N. and Lehner, F. and Gillett, N. and Tradowsky, J. S. and Vecchi, G. A. and Rodell, C. and Stull, R. B. and Howard, R. and Otto, F. E. L | Earth Syst. Dynam. | 2022 | 13
  4. Limited role of climate change in extreme low rainfall associated with southern Madagascar food insecurity, 2019-21

    Southern Madagascar recently experienced a severe food security crisis, made significantly worse ...

    Harrington, Luke James and Wolski, Piotr and Pinto, Izidine and Ramarosandratana, AnzelàMamiarisoa and Barimalala, Rondrotiana and Vautard, Robert and Philip, Sjoukje and Kew, Sarah and Singh, Roop and Heinrich, Dorothy and Arrighi, Julie and Raju, Emmanuel and Thalheimer, Lisa and Razanakoto, Thierry and van Aalst, Maarten and Li, Sihan and Bonnet, Rémy and Yang, Wenchang and Otto, Friederike E L and van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan | Environ. Res.: Climate | 2022
  5. Attribution of the Australian bushfire risk to anthropogenic climate change

    Disastrous bushfires during the last months of 2019 and January 2020 affected Australia, raising ...

    Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Folmer Krikken, Sophie Lewis, Nicholas J. Leach, Flavio Lehner, Kate R. Saunders, Michiel van Weele, Karsten Haustein, Sihan Li, David Wallom, Sarah Sparrow, Julie Arrighi, Roop K. Singh, Maarten K. van Aalst3, Sjoukje Y. Philip, Robert Vautard, and Friederike E. L. Otto | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2021 | 21
  6. Pathways and pitfalls in extreme event attribution

    The last few years have seen an explosion of interest in extreme event attribution, the science o...

    GJ van Oldenborgh,  K van der Wiel, S Kew, S Philip, F Otto, R Vautard, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | Climatic Change | 2021 | 166
  7. Attribution of typhoon-induced torrential precipitation in Central Vietnam, October 2020

    In October 2020, Central Vietnam was struck by heavy rain resulting from a sequence of 5 tropical...

    Luu LN, Scussolini P, Kew S, Philip S, Hariadi MH, Vautard R, Van Mai K, Van Vu T, Truong KB, Otto F, van der Schrier G., van Aalst, M. K. amd van Oldenborgh, G. J. | Climatic Change | 2021 | 169
  8. Human contribution to the record-breaking June and July 2019 heat waves in Western Europe

    Two extreme heatwaves hit Western Europe in the summer of 2019, with historical records broken by...

    R Vautard, MK van Aalst, O Boucher, A Drouin, K Haustein, F Kreienkamp, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, A Ribes, Y Robin, M Schneider, JM Soubeyroux, SI Seneviratne, MM Vogel, M Wehner | published | Environmental Research Letters | 2020 | 15
  9. A protocol for probabilistic extreme event attribution analyses

    Over the last few years, methods have been developed to answer questions on the effect of global ...

    SY Philip, SF Kew, GJ van Oldenborgh, FEL Otto, R Vautard, K van der Wiel, A King, F Lott, J Arrighi, R Singh, M van Aalst | published | Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr. | 2020 | 6
  10. Bridging forecast verification and humanitarian decisions: a valuation approach for setting up action-oriented early warning systems

    Empirical evidence shows that acting on early warnings can help humanitarian organizations reduce...

    A Lopez, E Coughlan de Perez, J Bazo, P Suarez, BJJM van den Hurk, M van Aalst | accepted | Weather and Climate Extremes | 2018
  11. Global predictability of temperature extremes

    Coughlan de Perez, Aalst, Bischiniotis, Mason, Nissan, Pappenberger, Stephens, Zsoter, Hurk | accepted | Environmental Research Letters | 2018
  12. Should seasonal forecasts be used for flood preparedness?

    Should seasonal forecasts be used for flood preparedness? Erin Coughlan de Perez, Elisabeth Step...

    E Coughlan de Perez, E Stephens, K Bischiniotis, M van Aalst, BJJM van den Hurk, S Mason, H Nissan, F Pappenberger | accepted | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2017 | 21
  13. Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian action

    Too often, credible scientific early warning information of increased disaster risk does not resu...

    E Coughlan de Perez, BJJM van den Hurk, MK van Aalst, I Amuron, D Bamanya, T Hauser, B Jongman, A Lopez, S Mason, J Mendler de Suarez, F Pappenberger, A Rueth, E Stephens, P Suarez, J Wagemaker | published | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences | 2016
  14. Forecast-based financing: an approach for catalyzing humanitarian action based on extreme weather and climate forecasts

    E Coughlan de Perez, BJJM van den Hurk, M van Aalst, B Jongman, T Klose, P Suarez | published | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2015
  15. Bridging forecast verification and humanitarian decisions: a valuation approach for setting up action-oriented early warning systems

    Authors: Ana Lopez, Ph.D; Erin Coughlan de Perez; Pablo Suarez; Bart van den Hurk; Marteen van Aa...

    A Lopez, E Coughlan de Perez, P Suarez, BJJM van den Hurk, M van Aalst | accepted | Weather, Climate and Society | 2015
  16. Overstromingen in Malawi en Mozambique

    Midden januari werden Malawi en Mozambique getroffen door hevige regenval die grote problemen ver...

    GJ van Oldenborgh, A Kruczkiewicz, M van Aalst | published | Meteorologica | 2015 | 24
  17. Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in southeast Brazil

    Southeast Brazil experienced profound water shortages in 2014/15. Anthropogenic climate change is...

    FEL Otto, CAS Coelho, A King, E Coughlan de Perez, Y Wada, GJ van Oldenborgh, RJ Haarsma, K Haustein, P Uhe, M van Aalst, JA Aravequia, W Almeida, H Cullen | published | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. | 2015 | 96
  18. Forecast-based financing: an approach for catalyzing humanitarian action based on extreme weather and climate forecasts

    Disaster risk reduction efforts traditionally focus on long-term preventative measures or post-di...

    E Coughlan de Perez, BJJM van den Hurk, M van Aalst, B Jongman, T Klose, P Suarez | accepted | Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences | 2014
  19. Projected changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming, Part II: East Africa

    ME Shongwe, GJ van Oldenborgh, BJJM van den Hurk, MA van Aalst | published | J. Climate | 2011 | 24
  20. Projected changes in extreme precipitation in Africa under global warming. Part 1: Southern Africa

    This study investigates likely changes in mean and extreme precipitation in southern Africa in re...

    ME Shongwe, GJ van Oldenborgh, BJJM van den Hurk, B de Boer, CAS Coelho, MK van Aalst | published | J. Climate | 2009 | 22
  21. Changes in extreme weather in Africa under global warming

    Many of the impacts of climate change will materialize through changes in extreme events such as ...

    Mxolisi Shongwe, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Bas de Boer, Bart van den Hurk, Maarten van Aalst (Red Cross/Red Crescent Climate Centre) | 13-11-2006 | pp8
  22. Arctic winter: comparison of nudged GCM runs with observations

    We have compared satellite and balloon observations of methane (CH4) and hydrogen fluoride (HF) d...

    M Aalst, A Bregman, C Brühl, B Steil, G Toon, S Garcelon, G Hansford, R Jones, T Gardiner, G Roelofs, J Lelieveld, P Crutzen | published | Atm. Chem. Phys. | 2004 | 4
  23. The impact of model grid zooming on tracer transport in the 1999/2000 Arctic Polar Vortex

    We have used a 3-D chemistry transport model to evaluate the transport of HF and CH4 in the strat...

    MMP van den Broek, MK van Aalst, A Bregman, M Krol, J Lelieveld, GC Toon, S Garcelon, GM Hansford, RL Jones, TD Gardiner | published | Atm. Chem. Phys. | 2003 | 3