KNMI Climate Scenarios for Suriname

This report discusses the climate scenarios for Suriname that were developed within the Makandra - Early Warning program. Within these scenarios four variables are considered: temperature, precipitation, wind, and sea level rise (SLR). For all variables a framework is used that is similar to the KNMI National Climate Scenarios 2023 for the Netherlands (KNMI’23 scenario’s) van Dorland et al. (2024), Chapter 9 on the Dutch Caribbean. As in the KNMI’23 scenario’s a distinction between low (SSP1-2.6), medium (SSP2-4.5) and high (SSP5-8.5) emission pathways is made. For the variables temperature, precipitation and wind a further subdivision into a wet and dry trend scenario is made.