Because they are rare, extreme weather events have critical impacts on societies and ecosystems and attract public and scientific attention. The most unusual events are regularly documented as part of routine climate monitoring by meteorological services. A growing number of attribution studies also aim at quantifying how their probability has evolved under human-induced climate change. However, it is often recognized that (i) the selection of studied events is geographically uneven, and (ii) the definition of a given event, in particular, its spatiotemporal scale, is subjective, which may impact attribution statements. Here we present an original method that objectively selects, defines, and compares extreme events that have occurred worldwide in the recent years. Building on previous work, the event definition consists of automatically selecting the spatiotemporal scale that maximizes the event rarity …
Julien Cattiaux, Aurélien Ribes, Vikki Thompson. Searching for the most extreme temperature events in recent history
Journal: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Volume: 105, Year: 2024, First page: 239, Last page: 256, doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0095.1