Preparedness activities and flood forecasting have received increasing attention and have led towards new science-based early warning systems. Understanding the flood triggering mechanisms will result in increasing warning lead times, providing sufficient time for early action. Findings of this study indicate that the consideration of short- and long-term antecedent conditions can be used by humanitarian organizations and decision makers for improved flood risk management.
K Bischiniotis, BJJ van den Hurk, B Jongman, E Coughlan de Perez, T Veldkamp, J Aerts. The influence of antecedent conditions on flood risk in sub-Saharan Africa
Status: accepted, Journal: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Year: 2017, doi: 10.5194/nhess-2017-58